Putin Goes All In With Syria

Putin Goes All In With Syria

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There have been no new news articles on Red Pills because there has been no real news for a very long time. Pretty much everything that has been happening globally is an extension of analysis made in past articles.

For those who want to understand the macro picture around them all they need do is read those articles.

The Iran “nuclear” agreement with the US was a small piece of news. As Red Pill readers know the agreement had little to do with nuclear. It was mostly about creating a comprehensive agreement with Tehran on its position relative to Cold War 2, which Obama had previously declared against Russia and China.

Would Iran move into the Western camp or at least stay non- aligned in this Cold War that we are only in the very early stages of?

From a US standpoint it seems as if ruling elites are divided on Iran. The majority, as represented by all Republican presidential candidates as well as Hillary Clinton on the Democratic side favor a hot war with Iran.

Obama’s peace agreement was intended to make it more difficult for these people to start such a war after he leaves the White House. It is arguably the only truly peaceful thing Obama has done in his more than six years as US president.

Of course getting around the Iran agreement is as simple as Hillary’s statement to the Brookings Institution that she would support the deal UNTIL she determined that Tehran was in violation and then she would attack.

Ostensibly she would learn that Tehran was in “violation” of the agreement by using the same Intel operatives who determined that Saddam had WMD and that Assad used chemical weapons at Ghouta.

Until now Tehran has not become a part of the new Russia- China defense system for a host of reasons, most of them rooted in history.

And until now while both Putin and Khamenei, (Iran’s supreme leader) have helped Assad in Syria, there has been limited coordination as well as assistance.

This is all about to change. Obviously long in the planning, Moscow has finally decided to enter the fray, with Beijing as always now quietly taking its back.

Putin is making the very high-risk move of committing Russian troops to support Assad and the Syrian government. The downside for Russia could mean its soldiers being caught in a political, cultural, tribal and religious swamp in Syria and perhaps Iraq as they once had been in Afghanistan.

But apparently Geo Political strategists in Moscow believed that this gamble would be worth it. For starters it opens the door to Tehran for much closer cooperation, first within the Levant and then in a growing partnership with Russia and China.

This also puts the Hillary Clinton’s and Jeb Bush’s in the US on notice that an unprovoked attack against Iran, (based on Empire“Intel” that it is building a nuclear weapon) is likely to, as Obama loves to say have “consequences”.

Thirdly this throws Russia and China’s hat into the ring to let Washington- Ankara- Riyadh- Tel Aviv- Paris- London etc. understand that they are no longer going to have their way in the MENA, creating terrorist mercenary groups like ISIS and Al Nusra to informally prosecute the West’s regional agendas.

This gives Putin a massive propaganda advantage, which he is well availing himself of. Since none other than the Empire has defined ISIS as the most dastardly of evil “terrorists” as well as the fiction that the “terrorist” group Al Qaeda was behind 9/11, then fighting them in Syria is fighting terrorism by the West’s own standard.

This is the kind of simplistic rhetoric that Westerners particularly Americans understand.

“Are you for us or against us? Are you for terrorism or against it? If you are against it, then why are you not joining us in fighting the “terrorists” (who in reality we all know wink wink you created and support to this day)?”

It is calling the bluff of Obama. Hollande, Cameron, Erdogan. Salman, Netanyahu et al.

The creation of ISIS, Al Qaeda and Washington’s aggression that led to the wars in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Libya and Yemen were not done accidentally either.

Just because Russia- China and Iran are entering the fray in the Levant more directly, is unlikely to change regional policy goals for Washington.

The Americans and their vassals are going to have to appear as if they want peace in the region and that they oppose ISIS and Al Nusra, while of course continuing to support them.

And continuing to support them they will, no matter how many fake “bombing” missions of terrorist positions they will claim to make.

Washington’s response to Putin entering the war in Syria will be “fine let the Russians die there”. And in order to accomplish that the US and its vassals will redouble the arms they give, (through Turkey) to ISIS and Al Nusra, as well as expand the funding for them through their Gulf State bankers.

The challenge for Washington is that they are now going to have to soften their rhetoric against their very own “terrorists” in general and ISIS in particular. They will need to give them a propaganda makeover. Washington has begun to do that with Al Qaeda, (which it actively supports today in Yemen) anyway. Soon all of us who read and understand English and other Western languages will learn that ISIS was never all that bad after all.

Also as Tehran expands into the Levant militarily, (albeit with the help of an awakened bear to the north) sectarian polarization between Sunnis and Sh’ias will increase.

The war will act as a huge recruitment campaign among young Sunnis for ISIS, especially if the funding spigots from Riyadh and Qatar are opened even further.

Meanwhile the back room agreements between Washington and Tehran, that has ruled over Baghdad since the Americans withdrew in numbers from Iraq seems once again ready to collapse. Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi has agreed to share intel with Russia on ISIS operations in his country.

That means that Tehran has given Haider a green light to cooperate with Moscow. That is directly against Washington’s regional interests, interests that Haider was supposed to represent as well.

It is a direct slap in Obama’s face.

How far and how deep Russia involves itself in the region remains to be seen. Of Russia’s population of 30 million Muslims, the largest group are Sunnis. For them Moscow is going to be on the wrong side of the Levant wars.

The people of Syria are caught between the devil and the deep blue sea. If Assad were to fall, (as Putin stated) Syria will become a failed state. On the other hand, is that worse than a war that will grow more widespread and ever more sectarian?

And to the degree that Putin lends Russian (Chinese) military support for regional Sh’ias and the West counters by supporting regional Sunnis, this will open a third front in Cold War 2.

The Levant will add to the fronts in the Ukraine (NATO expansion in Eastern Europe) as well as US naval expansion in the China and South China Seas, both of which are being met with a massive expansion of Russian and Chinese defense and counterattack capabilities.

There is a difference in Syria to the other two Cold War fronts which came about due to Washington’s aggression. Up until now the Levant and much of the rest of the region had been Washington’s de facto play ground, for the creation of terrorist assets as well as regional chaos. Except in Chechnya, American policies have only impacted Russia at the margins.

So Putin’s military entrance into the Levant is, (much more than the Crimea) an overtly aggressive move. And Washington and all its vassal states have been rocked back on their heels by it.

While it is possible that Putin won’t go too far militarily, usually actions like this have one or more specific goals. And one has to use whatever assets are necessary, (including time) in order to achieve them. That is why military incursions far from home tend to be like quicksand, easy to enter and hard to get out of. Be assured that Washington will use this principle in counterattacking.

Unlike the far more dangerous regions of Eastern Europe and the Eastern and Southeastern Pacific, there is a relatively easy outline for a Great Power peace accord in the Levant. That is because the goal of Washington in the region has long since been to Balkanize it into tiny hostile states mostly along sectarian lines.

At this point that would suit Russia, China and even Iran just fine. The question is how will this new map look? And that is what this war in the Levant is going to be about.

Any peace accord in the Levant however, is still a long way off. This war, as a new front in Cold War 2 is just beginning.

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