Recep Tayyip Erdogan is poised to win the Presidential election in Turkey this week, as he seeks to empower himself, (and change the structure of the Turkish Republic) Caliph like on the throne in Ankara.
He was originally hired by Empire, and gushed over in its propaganda medium, to be their favorite Muslim in the Sunni Middle East. He was supposed to create the kind of very mildly Islamic government Empire wanted in Ankara, and to export this model throughout the region. Needless to say Erdo was supposed to have a benign policy relative to Israel and one that would be distant, (although a little humanitarian would be OK) from Hamas and the Palestinians.
Erdo was truly Empire’s boy until hmmmmm………… he wasn’t.
When President of Israel Shimon Peres addressed the Turkish parliament during a visit in 2007, (the first Israeli leader to address a parliament in an Islamic nation) well that was what Empire wanted.
But then, after beginning to send some tough rhetorical missiles at Tel Aviv, Erdo sent the “Gaza Freedom Flotilla” on the 31st May 2010, aimed at embarrassing Israel internationally for its illegal naval blockade of Gaza. Ten people on the Flotilla were killed when the Israeli navy claimed that they met armed resistance on the ship MV Mavi Marmara.
Since Israel’s behavior was illegal under “international law” and the deaths were there for murder, the incident drew widespread attention and made Erodogan a hero of Islamic resistance to many, both in Turkey and around the Muslim world.
Then in 2012 when Mohamed Morsi , (The Muslim Brotherhood) became the first democratically elected president of Egypt, Erdo showed both him and his political party, a LOT more solidarity and support than Empire was comfortable with.
Empire and Erdo were however working together constructively to support Al Nusra and other Jihadhi butchers in Syria, to overthrow the Assad regime. But then, even that relationship broke down with mutual hostility.
Empire wanted and still wants chaos and the breaking up of the nation of Syria into small easily digestible and controllable chunks. Since Empire does NOT want a Muslim Brotherhood government in Damascus, (that could unite Muslims across national borders and threaten Israel) it is happy to keep Assad in power as the head of a vastly weakened and broken up nation.
Erdogan on the other hand wanted and still wants Assad gone yesterday. Ankara wants to extend its influence over a united Syria as a part of Erodogan’s growing New Ottoman Caliphate.
Those in Washington en-charged with the Turkey portfolio, heaved in their executive bathrooms. They came out red faced muttering “regime change”, “regime change”.
To implement this Empire unleashed their “Demonstrations to Go Unit” and also powerful people within a Trojan horse they had long since sent to Turkey, called the Gulen movement.
None of it worked. Empire was then getting ready to sabotage the Turkish economy, (as it had done to the much weaker Egyptian economy under Morsi) and destroy their currency when it decided it had bigger fish to fry.
It was called the Ukraine and the Western Front of Cold War 2 that the Obamanation has declared against Russia and China.
And that has given Erodogan breathing room.
Vlad actually admires Erdogan personally because unlike Obama, Cameron or Hollande he actually has a back bone. But for Vlad, Erodo’s support for the Muslim Brotherhood, (including Hamas) and his desire for a new Ottoman Caliphate in the Middle East independent of Empire is a non starter.
For Vlad Empire is bad enough. He does not want another burgeoning empire, (this one Islamic) to rise up next door that will complicate matters for Russia more than they already are.
But Vlad does recognize that Erdogan is something more than an Empire stooge and he will play that card as best he can for the benefit of Russia. And Erdogan in turn will cozy up to Vlad to create distance between himself and Empire and wring out whatever independence he can possibly get and still remain a NATO member.
A resounding win for Erdo on Sunday will help to empower him to do these things. But since the President’s power in Turkey has always been limited and secondary to that of the Prime Minister, (his present non renewable job) he is going to have to change the Turkish Constitution to get the power he wants and needs so that he can continue to work to create Ottoman power in the Middle East.
It will be when Erdo tries to change the constitution, that I expect his political enemies both inside and outside of Ankara will have their best chance to sabotage him and circumscribe his ambitions.